Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. No promotions available. He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. He's in a prime position to make a run at the checkered flag and comes at a price that won't break the bank. The question is, what is his upside? The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. He led just 28 laps in the race, but that was all he needed to bring home his first victory of 2022. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Copyright 1995 - 2023 Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. This pattern repeats for 21st through 30th and 31st through 40th. This is a bit of a bittersweet week for me, as Im sure it is for everyone heading to Fontana, Calif. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. And, as always, good luck! No wins yet. He might. Here are my picks for the matchups, DENNY HAMLIN vs. TYLER REDDICK (My Pick: DENNY HAMLIN), RYAN BLANEY vs. WILLIAM BYRON (My pick is RYAN BLANEY), KEVIN HARVICK vs. JOEY LOGANO (My pick is JOEY LOGANO), DANIEL SUAREZ vs. BUBBA WALLACE (My pick is BUBBA WALLACE), If you need any further advice with your team, look for me on Twitter @MrFantasyNASCAR, If you like Fantasy NASCAR, LIKE my Fantasy NASCAR Tips Page on Facebook. You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. Bell ranks third in my newly developed FLAGS rankings at similar tracks, and he starts on the front row alongside Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace. Larsons been the premiere performer at minimal wear intermediates this year (Las Vegas, Kansas and Charlotte), and if it wasnt for a late caution at Kansas he would be 3 for 3 at reaching Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. Daytona 500 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Its also the closest to my hometown. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. The NASCAR Cup Series will make a trip to Michigan International Speedway Sunday. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. 11:01 am ET, check out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure, sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here, You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here, Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, NASCAR changes package for short tracks, road courses, 2023 Pennzoil 400 predictions, odds, sims, picks, Crash Course: Kyle Busch starts his second act, NASCAR Power Rankings: Kyle Busch flies to first, Top NASCAR experts reveal 2023 Pala Casino 400 picks, NASCAR DFS: FireKeepers Casino 400 picks for Michigan, Rowdy flies to the top of the charts at Fontana, NASCAR changes rules for short tracks, road courses, Chastain signs long-term deal to remain Trackhouse, Alex Bowman wins Daytona 500 pole for the third time, Alex Bowman signs with Hendrick through 2026, Durant Era in Phoenix has the air of inevitability. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. ET on USA. At Auto Club, the Kyle Larson 2. 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. August 6, 2022 Fantasy Live Picks. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Reddick had the second-best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but Erik Jones was the fastest. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. FantasyCPR.com is the #1 Fantasy NASCAR site Fantasy NASCAR Picks Recap of the Pure Michigan 400 Welcome back to our fantasy NASCAR coverage for the 2015 season. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Looking at the 550hp package races this year, Reddick five finishes of 9th or better in the eight races and only two results worse than 11th (he was 22nd at Las Vegas and 26th in the first Atlanta race). ET . At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. 0 of 7. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Still, this is another race to play DraftKings Daily Fantasy Sports, so of course us degenerates are going to be interested and watching closely on Sunday. Stenhouses salary is a little high, but could be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! When Busch won in 2019, he dominated, leading 134 laps. 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. Fifth Driver: Brian Vickers (16.4): Rounding out the team with Vickers offers the best chance for a scoring a top 15 finish for driver in this price range.Total Team Value: 99.4. Before scouring the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Michigan predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Michigan picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race. As mentioned in my DFS YouTube video this week, Reddick is a great pivot or combination driver with the chalk place differential plays priced a little higher. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. Note: Stats below include Cup only at Martinsville Speedway, Bristol Motor Speedway and Richmond Raceway, Kyle Larson ($10,800)Career at Auto Club: 8 starts, 2 wins, 4 top fives, 4 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 13.0. Christopher Bell 4. BONUS TOURNAMENT PLAY: Bubba Wallace ($6,400) If youre looking to get off the low-dollar chalk, or want to save some cap from one of the mid-$7,000 drivers, Bubba Wallace is a tournament play to consider. If that happens, youre looking to fill out the rest of your lineup mainly with place differential plays, and maybe one or two high finishing plays. The 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway Kevin Harvick has won this race three times in the previous four years The race for positions in the NASCAR Drivers Championship continues this weekend, as the FireKeepers Casino 400 is staged at Michigan International In spring 2019, Larson finished 14th, but I thought he was better than his result. The Cup Series has spent the summer competing on road courses, the Superspeedway at Atlanta and flat tracks. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. Also factored in are projected laps led and fastest laps for each driver. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. I love this track; its had some great races in the last few years thanks to its high tire wear. In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Reddick has two wins this year and he will have a good chance to add a third to his playoff resume Sunday. DraftKings Picks Kevin Its the same story with Blaney as it is with Chase Elliott this weekend: pick up some dominator points and a top 5 finish and the moderate DraftKings salary would be worth it. ET Fantasy Football. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. All Rights Reserved. On Sunday, look for Reddick to finish in the top ten and compete for a top five. Ty Dillon ($6,600) starts all the way back in in 33rd position at Michigan and finished in the 20th spot there in June. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. ET on Sunday, and Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS pick despite this season's struggles. When it comes to the tire combination this weekend, Goodyear is bringing the same left side tires that the Cup Series ran here at Michigan last year. Bell could be a little underused in tournaments because his practice times werent the best. The best way to utilize the odds is to look at guys who are anywhere from 5/1 to 10/1 and build your team around these drivers. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nascar | pageType: stories | Lead Driver: Denny Hamlin (21.6): Hamlin is one of the safest picks Michigan, with two wins in the last three races, and is a must have for each team this week.Second Driver: Tony Stewart (22.4): Smoke has an AFP of 6.0 at Michigan, and at a cost of 22.4, he is an ideal candidate for another top point scorer.Third Driver: Joey Logano (19.0): With two top 10s in the last three races at Michigan and having a similar car to that of teammate Denny Hamlin, Logano should be a top 10 contender.Fourth Driver: AJ Allmendinger (20.0): With an AFP of 13.67 over the last three races at Michigan, The Dinger is a fairly safe and affordable pick for the fourth driver this week. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. 20 car is just another fast Toyota this weekend. Under 10:1, we also find Ross Chastain and Joey Logano. As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. Austin Dillon 5. In 2019, Busch had a great season and had results of 5th and 6th. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. When you make your DraftKings rosters this week, try to target drivers that are good at high-tire wear racetracks, like Darlington Raceway and Homestead-Miami Speedway. Now hes piloting a Toyota at 23XI Racing, and I have no doubt he can show up with speed once again on Sunday. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. 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